19 Replies
@Apollo695 "50% chance of getting one" isnt the same as "50% probability you would have gotten one"
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@RISH293710 Ah, I see the confusion here. You misinterpreted my original statement. I never said the probability would increase, just that there is a 50% chance of getting at least once it if you were to open ~138 packs. No worries though, everyone makes mistakes.
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@Apollo695 for one, your odds dont increase after 138 packs, you will continue to have a 1/200 chance each seed pack
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@RISH293710 Wow, I feel absolutely terrible for your students then! I would love to know how the math really works, according to you.
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@Apollo695 unfortunately for you, as you're evidence of it, thats not how math works. I'll be a statistics TA next semester!
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@RISH293710 unfortunately for you, yes it is. please take a statistics class.
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@Apollo695 maybe cause thats not how math works
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There is a 50% chance of getting one after exactly 138 packs. So thats about average, but ive done around 400 and i still havent gotten one π’
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For me like 50 and my 2nd at 60
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For me- 321 packe
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There is no βpityβ system or set amount of packs that guarantee anything, the chance is 0.5%, or 1/200
But it can easily take more or less than 200 packs, 1/200 isnβt a guarantee of it taking that many
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0.5% is a 1/200
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it is a foreign concept called "luck"
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Mathematically between 1-200 but it can take more, alot more
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I'm gonna be honest, there's no way of telling. I got my first sunflower on my 7th pack, but got my second on maybe my 60th or 70th pack. I'd say on average maybe 60-100 packs?
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